Articles Tagged ‘The Cook Political Report’

Rasmussen: Obamacare in Critical Condition

Monday, August 31st, 2009

Based on the responses of one thousand five hundred likely voters to a survey conducted over the telephone, thirty percent of respondents said they strongly approved of the way President Barack Obama was handling his job while forty-one percent expressed strong disapproval of his performance. Overall, the numbers are only slightly better for the president. The Rasmussen polling data indicates that a scant forty-six percent approve somewhat of the president’s performance, down nineteen points since he took office this past January and the lowest rating yet for the publishing firm.

Breaking the polling data down based on political party affiliation, the numbers are not too unexpected, but at the same time not all that encouraging for the White House. Eight-one percent of Democrats polled expressed approval of Obama’s handling of the presidential office while eight-three percent of Republican respondents disapproved. What’s truly troubling for the White House, however, is the data showing that sixty-six percent of independents, the precise sector of the American political spectrum that helped give the president’s campaign that extra push to win the 2008 election, said they disapproved of his performance thus far.

These numbers are tremendously significant in terms of where the president’s health care reform legislation stands in that whatever direction the president’s approval rating goes, so goes success or failure of any bill he is trying to pass. And, judging by these numbers, Obamacare may be on its last leg.

Matters aren’t any better for the Democratic leadership in both houses of Congress. Asked to respond to whether they would, given the chance to vote today, keep or replace any number of legislators in Congress, fifty-seven percent said they would removed all of them and start over again. Only twenty-five percent expressed enough confidence in Congress to keep things the way they are.

So what happened to all the heaps of public good will the Obama administration rode in on? As Charlie Cook of Cook’s Political Report put it – it’s the economy, stupid. Only twenty-nine percent of respondents in the Rasmussen poll expressed confidence that Congress knows what it is doing in terms of handling the nation’s economy. This figure includes the measly seven percent who are very confident in Congress’s approach and the thirty-eight percent who are not at all convinced.

Barring an event that would suddenly and dramatically raise Obama’s floundering approval rating – a ‘rally ‘round the flag’ type event such as the Bay of Pigs or September 11th – there is nothing to suggest that either the president’s poll numbers or support for his health care bill will change course any time soon.

AARP: Americans Want Public-Option … They Just Don’t Know What It Is

Monday, August 31st, 2009

Now this definitely cannot be good in terms of President Obama desperately trying to get health care reform passed during his tenure in office. AARP recently published polling data indicating that eight out of ten Americans favor a public-option health insurance system. Unfortunately for the president and his administration, that is where the good news ends rather abruptly. The survey also found that four out of ten Americans are not able to correctly define what a public-option is. Certainly not what one would consider an adequate selling point, is it?

The polling data, accumulated by Penn, Schoen, and Berland Associates on behalf of AARP, was based off the responses of a thousand Americans – Democrats, Republicans, and Independents – across the country and submitted in Denver, Colorado last Tuesday, August 25th.

The responses to the questions in the survey convey a series of contradictions. While a majority of those surveyed believed everyone should be covered, nearly sixty-five percent of respondents opposed increasing taxes to help pay for the president’s overhaul of the health care industry, which, he claims, will help cover all of the forty-six million (or whatever number they are currently pulling out) uninsured in this country. In addition, seventy-three percent of respondents stated they are unwilling to see private health insurance premiums rise to cover costs of the bill.

Charlie Cook, who is behind the non-partisan Cook Political Report, says the reason behind these inconsistencies is simple: it’s the economy, stupid. The troubling economic times, the worst this country has seen since the Great Depression, has everyone worried and the failure of the $3 trillion-plus stimulus package to live up to the incredibly high expectations set down by the White House has eroded confidence in the current administration.

What is likely to be even more troubling to the White House is Cook’s suggestions that the prospects for the Democrats in the 2010 mid-term elections will be far worse then what happened to them in 1994 as a result of Hillarycare. “President Obama made the mistake of outsourcing major public policy to an institution that doesn’t have a lot of credibility — Congress,” Cook said. And it appears as though he and the Democrats in Congress will both be paying the price for his arrogance.

Town Hall Diaries Part 1: Rep. Doggett, Sen. Specter Get Early Earful

Monday, August 3rd, 2009

The big Recess Rally isn’t for another nineteen days, but with House representatives breaking for recess this past Friday and a town hall meeting on health care in Philadelphia, some grass-roots activists decided to stir things up a bit early.

The first video comes from Austin, Texas, where Democratic Representative for the 25th Congressional District Lloyd Doggett was greeted in hometown by (to put it lightly) a fair number of unhappy constituents. Their message to the legislator was simple: Just Say No!

To say the turnout in Austin for the congressman was impressive would be an understatement. Yes, the district did vote for Bush in 2000, but four years later it went to Kerry. Right now, according to the Cook Political Report, District 25 has a partisan voting index of D+6.

The second video was taken on Sunday, August 2nd, at a town hall meeting with Secretary of Health and Human Services Kathleen Sebelius and political opportunist Senator Arlen Specter held at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Close to a thousand people showed up to the event.

It was at this meeting that Senator Specter announced his support for a single payer health insurance system. He likely did so in an effort to cater to the far left at a time when he is losing serious ground to Republican opponent Patrick Toomey. The latest poll from Quinnipiac University places Specter only one-point ahead of Toomey at this point in the race. Specter, however, probably shot himself in the foot when he urged Congress to “do this fast” judging by the crowd reaction.

ACORN, of course, was out in force exploiting amputees, the handicapped, and the disabled to further their cause.

Without a doubt, the best question at the event came from a woman who asked point-blank “how can you manage health care when you can’t manage cash for clunkers?”

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